With obsolete varieties we cut prices to keep market share.
Cutting prices is not a
			measure of competition.
It reflects obsolescence.
			
to Meet Consumer Needs
			WSU Tree Fruit Research and Extension Center
			 Wenatchee, WA
Annual IDFTA Conference, Hamilton,
			Ontario, Canada, February 20-24, 1999.
			Products in greater demand and of more value must replace obsolete products for producers to
			survive.
Promoting obsolete products does not improve product value.
To the consumer internal
			fruit quality is more important than appearance.
Paying producers for appearance, red color and
			large size is counterproductive.
Expecting apples from 10 to 12-month CA storage to have
			optimal quality is unrealistic and ignores consumer needs.
Inventing new products—varieties, in
			the case of apples—is essential to keep ahead of the competition.
Consumers recognize apple varieties and buy
			them by name.
Varieties are the
focal point of change
in the apple world and a variety change
			impacts growing, handling and marketing.
However, there must be a reason to change apple
			varieties.
The consumer is the
reason to change
.
			
Part 1.
Apple Varieties, the Focus of Change
			With apples, unlike other fruits, the variety itself is important when the consumer makes a
			purchase.
The consumer has a choice of varieties and usually knows the varieties by name,
			appearance and eating quality.
In the apple business the focus of change is the variety.
Because
			change is occurring so quickly in all aspects of society, it is important to adapt and to build
			change into every business.
Change is certainly occurring in the way we produce, handle,
			market and sell apples.
Consumer preferences are changing and the choice of apple varieties
			offered to the consumer has changed.
It is necessary to accept that change will occur and that it
			will occur more and more quickly.
Building Change into Your Orchard Business
			There are important reasons to build change into your orchard business and into our apple
			industry:
			•
Accepting the status quo means a decrease in the value of a variety because new varieties
			
become available.
			•
Customers demand improved products and, if we do not supply the new varieties, someone
			
else will.
			•
If the product we provide is obsolete, we will be denied access to capital.
Space allows
			mention of just two.
“Mr. Change” in the Washington fruit industry would certainly be Grady
		
		
Grady Auvil passed away at 93 in late December 1998.
He was the first to
			plant commercial acreages of Granny Smith, Gala and Fuji.
To take advantage of the high, early
			prices for these varieties, he planted at high densities in double rows on dwarfing M.26 and M.9
			rootstocks.
He changed the canopy structure from vertical to angled to improve light penetration
			into the center of the canopy.
He planted Granny Smith at high densities with dwarfing
			rootstocks almost 10 years before others in the Washington industry started planting high density
			orchards with Gala and Fuji in the late ’80s.
He recognized the importance of getting into
			production quickly.
Grady Auvil was also the first to commercialize Rainier cherries.
He did so
			because of the very high quality (size, appearance, firmness and sweetness) of the product.
His
			motivation for change to Gala, Fuji and Rainier cherries was to supply the consumer with a very
			pleasing eating experience.
More about the importance of the consumer later.
			of Doyle and Thyra Fleming and son Tye, also of Orondo, Washington.
They were among the
			earliest to plant Granny Smith, Gala, Braeburn and Cameo.
They have changed to more
			dwarfing rootstocks and planted at higher and higher tree densities.
Doyle enjoys saying, “I have
			never planted the same system twice.”
Are Some AppleVarieties Obsolete?
			If any product (including an apple variety) is old, mature, old-fashioned, less in use or no longer
			current, and it receives a low price, it is
obsolete
.
In
			many cases, they do not know it.
In other cases, they are in denial.
They still believe in the cash
			cow, even though the cow is going dry and is headed for the slaughterhouse.
McIntosh in
			Canada and the northeastern U.S., green-fruited Golden Delicious in Europe, Jonathan in the
			midwestern U.S. and Red Delicious in Washington and throughout North America are examples
			of obsolete varieties.
Cutting prices is not a measure of
			competition.
It reflects obsolescence.
It means there is a better, improved and more valuable
			product in the marketplace.
With every cut in price, the life expectancy of a product diminishes.
			These observations clearly apply to McIntosh and Red Delicious.
Apple Variety Life Cycles
			An apple variety goes through a predictable life cycle.
It begins with invention (breeding) or
			discovery (chance seedlings, mutations) and proceeds through introduction, emergence
			(increasing plantings), extensive production and eventually to obsolescence and paralysis
			(Figure 1).
The speed at which varieties move through these stages varies.
Today advancement
			through the stages is more rapid than in the past.
Some new varieties never advance from the
			invention to the introduction stage, and many falter during the emergence phase.
Today Pink
			Lady® Cripps Pink cv., Cameo and Honeycrisp are emerging varieties in North America.
			Varieties which have passed through obsolescence are Stayman and Winesap.
			discovery to commercialization (Table 1).
More recent varieties such as Braeburn, Empire,
			Jonagold, Gala and Fuji have taken 20 to 30 years from introduction to commercialization.
The
			newest introductions, Pink Lady® Cripps Pink cv., Pacific Rose and Cameo, have taken
		
		
Since change in varieties
			occurs so rapidly today, it is imperative that orchardists make every effort to become
			knowledgeable about new introductions.
The approximate number of years it has taken for varieties to advance from their
			discovery or invention to commercialization.
			Varietyz
Years to commercialization
			Golden Delicious
			Granny Smith
			Braeburn (1952)
			Gala (1960)
			Fuji (1962)
			Empire (1966)
			Jonagold (1968)
			Pink Lady® Cripps Pink cv. (1985)
			Pacific Rose (1990s)
			Cameo (1992)
			zyear of introduction in brackets.
			Over 50
			Over 50
			30 (in New Zealand)
			20 (in New Zealand)
			20 (in Japan)
			25
			20 (in Europe)
			10
			10
			?
All varieties
			have increasing prices when demand outstrips supply.
This occurs from the time there is interest
			in a new variety until it emerges as a commercial variety.
At some point when supply exceeds
			demand, prices begin to decline.
Eventually as prices continue to decline in comparison with
			other varieties and newly introduced varieties, the older variety becomes obsolete.
Price
			determines the length of time a variety remains at a particular life cycle stage.
Declining prices
			indicate extensive production of a variety and low prices are a measure of product maturity and
			obsolescence.
Developing New Varieties
			Inventing new varieties with traditional breeding programs may take 20 to 30 years.
From the
			introduction through the emergence phase may take an additional 10 years.
If we wait until a
			commercial variety is obsolete before beginning the task of inventing new varieties with plant
			breeding, we will be too late to have new varieties in time to replace the obsolete products.
It is
			necessary to begin the reinvention process of breeding new varieties before the existing varieties
			are extensively planted (Figure 1).
It will not introduce
			new cultivars in time to replace the Delicious variety.
Fortunately, Gala, Fuji, Braeburn, Pink
			Lady® Cripps Pink cv. and Cameo have become commercial varieties that should be profitable
			for a decade or more, forestalling the need for new replacement varieties until perhaps 2010.
It
			will still be necessary after 2010 for other new varieties from around the world to fill the gap
			before new varieties are available from the Washington breeding program.